Yahoo Autos Most Outrageous Driverless Car Predictions
“But these cars of 1960 and the highways on which they drive will have in them devices which will correct the faults of human beings as drivers. They will prevent the driver from committing errors. They will prevent his turning out into traffic except when he should. They will aid him in passing through intersections without slowing down or causing anyone else to do so and without endangering himself to others.” _ Norman Bel Geddes, industrial designer behind GM’s 1939 Futurama exhibit, in his 1940 book, Magic Motorways
“You can count on one hand the number of years it will take before ordinary people can experience [driverless cars].” _ Sergey Brin, Google cofounder, September 2012
“My oldest son is 11 and that means in four and a half years, he’s going to be able to get his driver’s license. My team and I are committed to making sure that doesn’t happen.” _ Chris Urmson, then-director of driverless cars at Google X, March 2015
“By 2025, private car ownership will all but end in major U.S. cities.” _ John Zimmer, Lyft cofounder, September 2016
“Almost all [new] cars built will be capable of full autonomy in about 10 years.” _ Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, February 2017
“By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of fully autonomous vehicles, 95 percent of all U.S. passenger miles will be served by transport-as-a-service providers who will own and operate fleets of autonomous electric vehicles, providing passengers with higher levels of service, faster rides, and vastly increased safety at a cost up to 10 times cheaper than today’s individually owned vehicles.” _ James Arbib and Tony Seba, cofounders of the technology think tank RethinkX, in “Rethinking Transportation 2020–2030,” May 2017
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