25 cars most likely, and 25 least likely, to face future recalls
Vehicle data outfit iSeeCars is out with an interesting new calculation. It looked at recall data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and used that to create a projection of the cars that in the future will be most likely subject to further recalls.
Last year alone, NHTSA issued 300 recalls affecting 35 million vehicles. So what will next year bring, or the year after that? Here's iSeeCars' assessment of how many recalls these cars might face over the course of their entire lifetimes.
Cars most likely to face future calls
Rank | Model | Expected 30-Year Lifetime Recalls | Compared to Median |
1 | 70.7 | 21.9x | |
2 | 66.9 | 20.7x | |
3 | 60.7 | 18.8x | |
4 | 43.1 | 13.3x | |
5 | 40.1 | 12.4x | |
6 | 38.5 | 11.9x | |
7 | 37.6 | 11.6x | |
8 | 26.2 | 8.1x | |
9 | 22.3 | 6.9x | |
10 | 22.2 | 6.9x | |
11 | 20.7 | 6.4x | |
12 | 20.7 | 6.4x | |
13 | 20.4 | 6.3x | |
14 | 19.3 | 6.0x | |
15 | 19.1 | 5.9x | |
16 | 18.5 | 5.7x | |
17 | 18.4 | 5.7x | |
18 | 18.1 | 5.6x | |
19 | 17.2 | 5.3x | |
20 | 17.0 | 5.3x | |
21 | 16.0 | 4.9x | |
22 | 14.9 | 4.6x | |
23 | 14.9 | 4.6x | |
24 | 14.8 | 4.6x | |
25 | 14.7 | 4.6x | |
Median Recalls | 3.2 | -- |
Note that there are a number of Teslas and other EVs high in those ranks. In many cases, recalls on those vehicles can be done over the air, with little or no inconvenience to owners. When iSeeCars excluded OTAs from its calculation (and to be honest, we're a little unsure how they could figure that, but they must be basing it on a past ratio of OTA vs. physical repairs), all four Tesla models and the Rivian R1S fell out of the list, while the Lucid Air moved down to the last spot. However, the Porsche Taycan and Panamera remained, as Nos. 1 and 2.