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25 cars most likely, and 25 least likely, to face future recalls

25 cars most likely, and 25 least likely, to face future recalls



Vehicle data outfit iSeeCars is out with an interesting new calculation. It looked at recall data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and used that to create a projection of the cars that in the future will be most likely subject to further recalls.

Last year alone, NHTSA issued 300 recalls affecting 35 million vehicles. So what will next year bring, or the year after that? Here's iSeeCars' assessment of how many recalls these cars might face over the course of their entire lifetimes.

Cars most likely to face future calls

Rank

Model

Expected 30-Year Lifetime Recalls

Compared to Median

1

Porsche Taycan

70.7

21.9x

2

Tesla Model Y

66.9

20.7x

3

Tesla Model 3

60.7

18.8x

4

Porsche Panamera

43.1

13.3x

5

Lucid Air

40.1

12.4x

6

Tesla Model S

38.5

11.9x

7

Tesla Model X

37.6

11.6x

8

Lincoln Aviator

26.2

8.1x

9

Genesis GV70

22.3

6.9x

10

Kia Telluride

22.2

6.9x

11

Ford Maverick

20.7

6.4x

12

Rivian R1S

20.7

6.4x

13

Kia Sorento Plug-In Hybrid

20.4

6.3x

14

Ram 1500 Classic

19.3

6.0x

15

Ram 1500

19.1

5.9x

16

Volkswagen Atlas

18.5

5.7x

17

Kia K5

18.4

5.7x

18

Volkswagen Atlas Cross Sport

18.1

5.6x

19

Ford F-150

17.2

5.3x

20

Ford Bronco

17.0

5.3x

21

Porsche 911

16.0

4.9x

22

Kia EV6

14.9

4.6x

23

Ford Bronco Sport

14.9

4.6x

24

Ford Explorer

14.8

4.6x

25

Kia Sorento Hybrid

14.7

4.6x

Median Recalls

3.2

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Note that there are a number of Teslas and other EVs high in those ranks. In many cases, recalls on those vehicles can be done over the air, with little or no inconvenience to owners. When iSeeCars excluded OTAs from its calculation (and to be honest, we're a little unsure how they could figure that, but they must be basing it on a past ratio of OTA vs. physical repairs), all four Tesla models and the Rivian R1S fell out of the list, while the Lucid Air moved down to the last spot. However, the Porsche Taycan and Panamera remained, as Nos. 1 and 2.